JCO Precision Oncology

Background: Predicting whether a treatment will demonstrate meaningful clinical benefit before committing to a large-scale trial remains a major unmet need in oncology. Patient-derived organoids (PDOs) recapitulate individual tumor drug sensitivity, but have not been used to forecast population-level trial outcomes. We developed SCOPE (Screening-to-Clinical Outcome Prediction Engine), a platform that integrates PDO drug screening with clinical prognostic modeling to predict arm-level median progression-free survival (mPFS) and objective response rate (ORR) without access to any trial outcome data. Patients and methods: SCOPE was trained on 54 treatment lines from patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC, n=15) and metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC, n=39) with matched clinical data and PDO drug screening across 9 compounds. A Clinical Score module captures baseline prognosis; a Drug Screen Score module quantifies treatment-specific organoid sensitivity. To predict trial outcomes, synthetic patient profiles are generated from published eligibility criteria and matched to a biobank of 81 PDO lines. Predictions were externally validated against 32 arms from 23 published trials, treatment ranking was assessed across 8 head-to-head comparisons, and prospective applicability was tested for daraxonrasib (RMC-6236), a novel pan-RAS inhibitor in mPDAC. Results: Predicted mPFS strongly agreed with published outcomes (R2=0.85, MAE=0.82 months; Pearson r=0.92, P<0.001), approaching the empirical concordance between two independently measured clinical endpoints (ORR vs. mPFS, R2=0.87). ORR prediction was similarly robust (R2=0.71, MAE=7.3 percentage points). Integrating organoid and clinical data significantly outperformed either alone (P=0.001). SCOPE correctly identified the superior arm in 7 of 8 head-to-head comparisons (88%, P<0.05). Applied to daraxonrasib prior to phase 3 data availability, the platform predicted superiority over standard chemotherapy in KRAS-mutant mPDAC, consistent with emerging clinical data. Conclusion: By combining functional organoid drug screening with clinical modeling, SCOPE generates calibrated efficacy predictions for both established regimens and novel agents without prior clinical data. This approach could support clinical trial design, treatment arm selection, and go/no-go decisions, offering a new tool to improve the efficiency of gastrointestinal cancer drug development.

Background Cardiovascular adverse events (CVAEs) after chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for lung cancer are major concerns in Appalachia due to high rates of smoking and pre-existing cardiovascular diseases (CVD). The objectives of this study were to characterize the incidence of CVAEs in this population and evaluate machine learning (ML) models for CVAEs risk stratification and mortality prediction. Methods A retrospective study was conducted among Appalachian patients with lung cancer treated with definitive CRT at a single institution between 2013 and 2025. Baseline clinical variables, including demographics, smoking status, pre-existing CVD, and post-CRT CVAEs were collected. Heart dosimetric parameters were also obtained. ML models [Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GBM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression (LR)] were trained using 5 fold cross validation and evaluated using AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and F1 score. Feature importance was assessed using permutation analysis. Wilcoxon and Chi-squared tests were used for descriptive comparisons. Results Eighty-six patients (mean age 66 years, 47% male) were included. At diagnosis, 80% (n=69) had NSCLC and 20% (n=17) had LS-SCLC. CVAEs occurred in 51 patients (59%). The most frequent events were NSTEMI (n=15, 29.4%), pericardial disease (n=15, 29.4%), and arrhythmia (n=8, 15.7%). Mean heart dose was higher in the CVAE group (13.4 vs 9.4 Gy, p=0.27). For CVAE prediction, GBM achieved the highest AUC (0.55, 95% CI 0.44-0.69) and sensitivity (75%), while RF showed the highest sensitivity (80%, 95% CI 69-90%). Key predictors included age and cardiac dosimetrists (Heart V20, V40, V50, and mean heart dose). For mortality prediction, RF achieved the highest discrimination (AUC = 0.63, 95% CI 0.496-0.750). Age, cardiac dosimetry, disease stage, and cardiovascular comorbidity were the most influential predictors. Conclusion High incidence of CVAEs occurred among patients with lung cancer treated with CRT in this Appalachian cohort. While ML models demonstrated modest predictive performance, tree-based approaches demonstrated high sensitivity for identifying patients at risk for CVAEs and mortality. Age and cardiac radiation dose metrics consistently emerged as key predictors, highlighting the importance of cardiac dose optimization and ML-based risk stratification for cardio-oncology surveillance.

Background: Sezary syndrome (SS) is an aggressive leukemic variant of cutaneous T-cell lymphoma (CTCL) with distinct clinical and biological features compared to rarer entities such as primary cutaneous CD8+ aggressive epidermotropic cytotoxic T-cell lymphoma (PCAECTCL). Although recurrent genomic alterations in CTCL have been described, comparative analyses at the pathway level across biologically divergent subtypes remain limited. Here, we leveraged a conversational artificial intelligence (AI) platform for precision oncology to enable rapid, integrative, and hypothesis-driven interrogation of publicly available genomic datasets. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of somatic mutation and clinical data from the Columbia University CTCL cohort accessed via cBioPortal. Cases were stratified into SS (n=26) and PCAECTCL (n=13). High-confidence coding variants were curated and mapped to biologically relevant signaling pathways and functional gene categories implicated in CTCL pathogenesis. Pathway-level mutation frequencies were compared using Chi-square or Fisher's exact tests, with effect sizes quantified as odds ratios. Tumor mutational burden (TMB) was compared using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Subtype-specific co-mutation patterns were evaluated using pairwise association analyses and visualized through oncoplots and network heatmaps. Conversational AI agents, AI-HOPE, were used to iteratively refine cohort definitions, prioritize pathway-level signals, and contextualize findings. Results: TMB was comparable between SS and PCAECTCL (p = 0.96), indicating no significant difference in global mutational load. In contrast, pathway-centric analyses revealed marked qualitative differences. SS demonstrated enrichment of alterations in epigenetic regulators, tumor suppressor and cell-cycle control pathways, NFAT signaling, and DNA damage response mechanisms, consistent with transcriptional dysregulation and immune modulation. PCAECTCL exhibited relatively higher frequencies of alterations involving epigenetic regulators and MAPK pathway signaling, suggesting distinct oncogenic dependencies. Co-mutation analysis revealed a more constrained and focused interaction landscape in SS, whereas PCAECTCL displayed broader and more heterogeneous co-mutation networks, indicative of divergent evolutionary trajectories. Notably, ERBB2 mutations were significantly enriched between subtypes (p = 0.031), highlighting a potential subtype-specific therapeutic vulnerability. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that SS is distinguished from PCAECTCL not by increased mutational burden but by distinct pathway-level architectures, particularly involving epigenetic regulation, immune signaling, and transcriptional control. These findings generate biologically grounded, testable hypotheses for subtype-specific therapeutic targeting and underscore the value of conversational AI as a scalable framework for accelerating discovery in translational cancer genomics.

Background: The tumor suppressor gene TP53 and the oncogene KRAS are among the most frequently altered core drivers in human malignancies. Although they cooperatively regulate critical biological processes, the prognostic impact of their co alterations remains poorly defined and exhibits striking inconsistency across different cancer types. Methods: We comprehensively analyzed genomic and clinical data from multi-cancer cohorts sourced from the cBioPortal database and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Genetic alterations, including sequence variations and copy number alterations (CNAs), were classified for TP53 and KRAS. Patients were stratified into four subgroups based on individual or combined alteration status. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier methods. Integrated multi-omics analyses were conducted to assess the relationship between genetic alterations and mRNA/protein expression, and to characterize co-occurring genetic events and their prognostic implications. Results: Patients harboring concurrent TP53 and KRAS alterations exhibited significantly shorter overall survival in pancreatic cancer, colorectal cancer, and ampullary carcinoma, but surprisingly demonstrated the longest survival in gastric cancer. Distinct KRAS mutation subtype distributions were observed across cancer types: G12D/G12V predominated in pancreatic and colorectal cancers, G12C in non small cell lung cancer, and G13D in gastric cancer, with copy number alterations representing a substantial proportion of KRAS alterations in gastric and lung cancers. Multi-omics analysis revealed a lack of concordance between genetic alterations and mRNA/protein expression, indicating that mutation status alone does not reliably reflect downstream molecular changes. Concurrent genetic events displayed striking cancer-type specificity: CDKN2A alterations frequently co-occurred with TP53/KRAS double alterations in pancreatic cancer and were associated with worse prognosis, whereas APC mutations co-occurred in colorectal cancer and correlated with improved survival. Integrated analysis further demonstrated that KRASaltered/TP53altered patients were highly enriched in pancreatic, colorectal, and lung cancers, each exhibiting unique background genomic landscapes. Conclusions: The prognostic significance of TP53 and KRAS alterations is profoundly cancer-type specific, driven by differences in mutation subtype distribution, copy number alteration patterns, co-occurring genetic events, and the discordance between genotype and functional expression. These findings challenge the simplistic view of dual-gene alterations as universal markers of poor prognosis and underscore the necessity of incorporating cancer-specific molecular contexts into prognostic models and precision oncology strategies.

BackgroundLynch syndrome (LS) is a cancer susceptibility syndrome caused by germline pathogenic variants in DNA mismatch repair (MMR) genes. Due to increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), enhanced colonoscopic surveillance is recommended for heterozygote MMR-carriers. ObjectiveUsing a registry of English LS patients linked to digital National Health Service records, we aimed to assess adherence of MMR-carriers to national surveillance guidelines, and to determine the impact of surveillance on CRC incidence and mortality. DesignWe described the frequency of colonoscopies in 4,732 MMR-carriers and used logistic regression to determine predictors of surveillance adherence. For MMR-carriers with a record of surveillance and those without, we: estimated age-specific annual CRC incidence rates (AS-AIRs) and cumulative lifetime risks, assessed for stage-shift by comparing CRC stage distributions and stage-specific AS-AIRs, and estimated risks of death from CRC and any cause using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox Proportional Hazards regression. ResultsSurveillance at a mean interval of [&le;] 3 years (n=3028) was associated with a decrease in CRC-specific and all-cause mortality, without an associated change in total CRC incidence, even after multivariate adjustment. No strong evidence of stage-shift was observed. Colonoscopic surveillance at a mean interval of [&le;] 2 years (n=1569) was associated with an increase in total CRC incidence. Incidence of early-stage cancers was also higher, with no corresponding decrease in late-stage cancers, which may reflect the short follow-up period or the impact of overdiagnosis. ConclusionThe observed reduction in all-cause mortality amongst regularly-surveilled MMR-carriers may indicate an impact of surveillance on CRC-specific mortality, though in the context of a non-randomised study likely reflects the influence of selection bias. KEY MESSAGES OF ARTICLEO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSRegular surveillance colonoscopy is recommended in Lynch syndrome, though evidence to support this remains mixed. We searched PubMed for articles published from inception to 01/05/2024 using the terms "Lynch syndrome", "HNPCC", "colonoscopy", "sigmoidoscopy", "surveillance", and "screening". We found one controlled trial and several small analytical studies dating from the early 2000s which compared surveilled and non-surveilled populations and found surveillance to be associated with reduced colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and improved survival. More recent longitudinal observational studies, most without comparator groups, found a high incidence of CRC in LS populations despite being resident in countries where surveillance was recommended. A small number of studies directly assessed time since last colonoscopy against CRC incidence and stage with mixed findings. Finally, cross-sectional comparisons between countries of CRC incidence rates and surveillance interval recommendations found no relationship between the two1,2. What this study addsHere, we conduct an observational cohort study on a large national cohort of MMR germline pathogenic variant (GPV) carriers (MMR-carriers) in England (n=4,732), comparing CRC incidence and mortality in individuals with a record of regular surveillance to those without. Through linkage of the English National Lynch Syndrome Registry to Hospital Episodes Statistics data, we are uniquely able to study a comprehensive national population of MMR-carriers and identify the dates on which colonoscopies were undertaken over time, allowing assessment of adherence to national surveillance guidelines and the impact this has on CRC outcomes. Notably, receipt of regular colonoscopy was strongly associated with deprivation as well as ethnicity. The results show that regular surveillance at an average interval of 3 years (or less) is not associated with a reduction in CRC incidence when compared to less frequent surveillance, but an apparent decrease in both CRC-specific and overall mortality is observed, even after adjustment for confounding variables. Conversely, regular surveillance at an average interval of 2 years (or less) is associated with an increase in CRC incidence when compared to less frequent surveillance, which may suggest increased diagnosis of early-stage cancers or, due to the absence of a reduction in late-stage cancers, overdiagnosis. The observed impact of surveillance on overall mortality may demonstrate the impact of surveillance on CRC-specific mortality, or, in the context of an observational (non-randomised) study, indicate that the results are subject to selection bias. How this study might affect research, practice, or policyEvidence for the benefit of surveillance colonoscopy remains mixed. Whilst polypectomy would be anticipated to prevent CRC development (thus reducing CRC incidence), several studies have observed increased frequency of CRCs in MMR-carriers undergoing frequent surveillance colonoscopy, which may reflect overdiagnosis. The selection bias inherent to observational studies of surveillance renders mortality outcomes challenging to interpret. Randomised controlled trials of colonoscopic surveillance in MMR-carriers are required for effectiveness of this intervention to be accurately assessed. Given ethical and feasibility challenges, randomised controlled trials might be complemented by quasi-experimental designs using advanced observational methods for assessing effectiveness.

Purpose: Limited CNS bioavailability and pharmacodynamics are obstacles to effective systemic therapies for glioblastoma. One strategy to overcome these challenges is drug combinations enhancing CNS penetration and/or tumor chemosensitivity. LP-184, a synthetic acylfulvene class alkylator, induces DNA damage and inhibits glioblastoma cell viability in pre-clinical models. LP-184 is a prodrug converted to active metabolites by intracellular prostaglandin reductase 1 (PTGR1) that is over-expressed in >70% of glioblastoma. DNA damage induced by LP-184 is MGMT agnostic and reversed by transcription-dependent NER. Patients: LP-184 was evaluated in a Phase 1a study (NCT05933265) in 63 adult patients with advanced malignancies including 16 patients with recurrent glioblastoma. All patients with glioblastoma received prior standard-of-care therapy and most had received 1 or more additional therapies before enrollment. Results: Patients with glioblastoma experienced more frequent transaminitis, Grade 1-2 nausea and a trend towards more frequent and severe thrombocytopenia compared to the non-glioblastoma cohort. Otherwise, overall toxicity profiles were similar. Clinical pharmacokinetic analysis combined with published pre-clinical intra-tumoral bioavailability data (~20% penetration) predicted that LP-184 at the recommended dose for expansion (RDE) would achieve cytotoxic levels if combined with spironolactone, a BBB permeable ERCC3 degrader and TC-NER inhibitor that sensitizes glioblastoma cells to LP-184 3-6-fold. We show that three daily doses of spironolactone deplete orthotopic glioblastoma PDX ERCC3 protein by ~ 80% and increases tumor LP-184 cytotoxicity 2-fold. Conclusions: LP-184 is well tolerated at the RDE, and we establish a clinically translatable scheme for dosing spironolactone in combination with LP-184 for a future Phase 1b clinical trial.

Chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy targeting CD19 has transformed outcomes for children with relapsed or refractory (R/R) B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL), yet the influence of molecular subtype on outcomes remains unclear. We evaluated the impact of cytogenetic and molecular signatures on complete response (CR), overall survival (OS), and leukemia-free survival (LFS) after CD19 CAR-T therapy in eighty-six pediatric patients with R/R B-ALL treated with tisagenlecleucel. CR was assessed 30 days after infusion. Cytogenetic data were available for 84 patients and molecular profiling for 62. Survival analyses included 72 patients who received CD19 CAR-T as the sole cellular therapy. Seventy-seven patients achieved CR (89.5%). Pre-infusion bone marrow blasts of [&ge;]20% were associated with lower CR rates (53.8% vs 95.9%, p<0.0001) and significantly reduced OS and LFS (both p<0.0001). Among molecular markers, RAS mutations correlated with inferior OS (p=0.0222) and LFS (0.0402). In multivariate analysis, bone marrow blasts >20% and RAS mutations independently predicted inferior OS. Post CAR-T, CD19 negative relapses showed almost twice higher prevalence of RAS mutations (66% vs 37.5%). These findings highlight RAS mutations as a key molecular predictor of outcome after CD19 CAR-T therapy and suggest emergence of unique risk stratification for patients receiving CD19-targeting therapy.

Purpose: To test whether histology-derived gene-expression signatures from routine hematoxylin and eosin slides are prognostic for recurrence and predictive of chemotherapy benefit in early breast cancer. Methods: We conducted a multi-cohort study including CALGB 9344 (anthracycline +/- paclitaxel), CALGB 9741 (standard vs dose-dense chemotherapy), a pooled Chicago real-world cohort, and the American Cancer Society (ACS) Cancer Prevention Studies-II and -3. Whole-slide images were processed with a previously described pipeline to generate 61 histology-derived signatures per patient. The primary endpoint was distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI), except in ACS, where breast cancer-specific survival was used. Secondary endpoints include distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) and overall survival. The most prognostic signature in CALGB 9344, selected by Harrell's C-index, was evaluated in additional cohorts. Signature-treatment interaction was assessed by likelihood-ratio tests. Multivariable Cox models incorporating age, tumor size, nodal status, estrogen/progesterone receptor status, and signature were fit in CALGB 9344 to improve risk stratification. Results: A total of 7,170 patients were included across four cohorts. The top histology-derived signature in CALGB 9344 showed strong prognostic performance for 5-year DRFI (C-index 0.63) and performed well across validation cohorts (C-index 0.60, 0.70, and 0.62 in CALGB 9741, Chicago, and ACS, respectively). The strongest predictive signal for treatment benefit was observed for DRFS. High-risk cases identified by the signature demonstrated greater benefit from taxane in CALGB 9344 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.76 for DRFS, 95% CI 0.66-0.88; interaction p=0.028), from dose-dense chemotherapy in CALGB 9741 (aHR 0.69, 95% CI 0.56-0.85; interaction p=0.039), and differential chemotherapy benefit in the Chicago cohort (aHR 0.84, 95% CI 0.59-1.21; interaction p=0.009). Combined clinical-histology models improved risk stratification and identified low-risk groups with a 2%-10% risk of distant recurrence or breast cancer death. Conclusion: Histology-derived signatures from H&E images are broadly prognostic and, unlike clinical factors, may predict chemotherapy benefit.

ObjectiveThe purpose of the present study is to describe the survival outcomes of patients with low-grade serous ovarian cancer (LGSOC) in the post-operative setting from a tertiary gynecologic oncology referral centre in Quebec, including evaluation of patient characteristics, clinical outcomes and prognostic factors. MethodsThe study included 25 patients: 1) with a post-surgical histopathologic diagnosis of a low-grade serous tumour of the ovary, 2) underwent primary cytoreductive surgery prior to adjuvant therapy, and 3) for whom clinical data was available. Clinical and demographic features were characterized by descriptive statistics. Clinical endpoints of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed, utilizing the Kaplan-Meier method for estimating survival probabilities. ResultsThe median age of this cohort was 61 years (range, 26-81). Median OS was 140.6 months in patients with no residual disease (R0), 71 months in patients with microscopic residual disease (R1), and 27.7 months in patients with macroscopic residual disease (R2) (p=.001). Residual disease was also found to significantly impact PFS (p=.008). Administration of adjuvant chemotherapy failed to improve survival outcomes altogether (PFS, p = .270; OS, p = .300). ConclusionsThis study supports the shifting consensus that optimal cytoreductive surgery, where feasible, is paramount for successful treatment of LGSOC. Furthermore, treatment with adjuvant chemotherapy may lead to worse survival outcomes.

Chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy has transformed treatment for relapsed /refractory(r/r) lymphoid malignancies. Yet, these cellular immunotherapies are often associated with immune-related adverse events (irAEs), namely cytokine release syndrome (CRS) and immune effector cell-associated neurotoxicity syndrome (ICANS), that pose significant risks to patient safety and limit broader clinical implementation of CAR T-cell therapies. In the current study, we used proteomics technology to establish circulating protein signatures that would predict severe CRS and ICANS in r/r lymphoma patients that subsequently received CAR T-cell therapy. Initial discovery was performed using plasma samples collected preceding CAR T-cell infusion from 39 r/r lymphoma patients at MD Anderson Cancer Center. A 5-marker and 8-marker protein panel was developed for predicting Grade [&ge;] 2 CRS and ICANS respectively, yielding respective AUCs of 0.85 [95% CI: 0.72-0.98] and 0.91 [95% CI: 0.81-1.00]. Independent testing of the CRS and ICANS panel was performed in a cohort of 59 r/r lymphoma patients from the Moffitt Cancer Center, with resultant AUCs of 0.76 [95% CI: 0.63-0.89] and 0.67 [95% CI: 0.51-0.84] for the CRS and ICANS panel, respectively. Patients were further classified into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups based on panel score tertiles. In the combined dataset (MDACC + Moffitt), compared to patients in the low-risk group (reference), patients in the intermediate- and high-risk groups were 3.15 [95% CI: 0.92-12.71] and 13.84 [95% CI: 4.21-56.26] more likely to have Grade [&ge;] 2 CRS, and 1.21 [95% CI: 0.36-4.23] and 8.59 [95% CI: 2.87-29.09] more likely to have Grade [&ge;]2 ICANS. The protein biomarker panels provide a means to risk stratify patients who are at high risk for developing severe CRS and ICANS, to inform on the need for prophylactic interventions and improve patient outcomes.

BackgroundTreatment optimization in HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer (OPSCC) remains challenging, as recent de-escalation trials have shown limited success. Current patient selection strategies based on smoking history and TNM classification are insufficient, highlighting the need for robust, standardized prognostic biomarkers. We report the first validation of the Immunoscore (IS) for prognostic stratification in HPV-associated OPSCC. Patients and methodsWe analyzed 191 HPV-associated (p16+ and HPV DNA/RNA+) OPSCC patients from an international multicenter cohort (2015-2024), comprising a French monocentric retrospective training cohort (N = 48) and three validation cohorts: French monocentric retrospective (N = 48), French multicenter prospective (N = 50), and US multicenter retrospective (N = 45). IS is a standardized digital pathology assay quantifying CD3lJ and CD8lJ densities in tumor cores and invasive margins, with cut-offs defined in the training cohort and validated across cohorts. Associations with disease-free survival (DFS), time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS) were assessed, alongside 3RNA-seq and sequential immunofluorescence profiling of immune composition. ResultsMedian age 65; 80% male; 74% smokers; 66% T1-2; 82% N0-1 (AJCC8th). IS-High patients demonstrated superior 3-year DFS in the training and validation cohorts 1-3 (all log-rank P < 0.05). Multivariable analysis identified IS-Low as the strongest independent risk factor for DFS (HR 9.03; 95% CI: 4.02-20.31; P < 0.001). The model combining IS with clinical factors showed higher predictive accuracy for DFS (C-index 0.82) than clinical variables alone (0.7; P < 0.0001). Similar findings were observed for TTR and OS. IS-High tumors showed markedly higher enrichment of lymphoid and myeloid immune cell populations, contrasting with immune-poor signatures in IS-Low tumors. ConclusionsIS is a robust biomarker that outperforms standard clinical variables in both prognostic and predictive accuracy. The enriched cytotoxic immune infiltrate in IS-High tumors explains favorable outcomes and supports their suitability for treatment de-escalation. Prospective validation is warranted.

BackgroundMulticancer early detection tests could be used for cancer screening, but may lead to harms, including false positive results and overdiagnosis of indolent tumours that would not have become clinically evident during that persons lifetime. We assessed the potential for these screening harms in the context of future population-based screening with a multicancer early detection test. MethodsWe used a microsimulation model to assess potential population-level impacts of screening at ages 50-75 years with a multicancer early detection test in Canada. We assumed high test specificity (97-99.1%) and test sensitivity increasing with cancer stage. The model includes latent indolent cancers that would not be diagnosed within that persons lifetime but can be overdiagnosed through screen-detection. We calculated the yearly and cumulative lifetime probabilities of screening overdiagnosis and false positive test results, assuming a range of preclinical screen-detectable periods (2-5 years). ResultsAn estimated 2.1-6.0% of all yearly screen-detected cancers with a multicancer screening test were predicted to be overdiagnoses across scenarios. The proportion of overdiagnosis varied by site, and strongly increased with age, going from 1% at age 50 to over 10% of screen-detected cancers by age 75. The test positive predictive value ranged from 15.9%-77.6%, meaning that there could be 0.3-5.3 false positives with no underlying cancer for every true cancer case detected by the test. ConclusionPopulation-level multicancer screening with a multicancer early detection test would likely not lead to substantial screen-related overdiagnosis. Healthcare systems should consider how screening false positives may increase their diagnostic service caseload.

BackgroundInvasive lobular breast cancer (ILC) is the most commonly diagnosed special histological subtype of breast cancer (BC). Metastatic ILC (mILC) is less sensitive to FDG-PET imaging and often metastasizes to unusual sites --peritoneum, gastrointestinal (GI) tract, ovaries, urinary tract, and orbit--which may go unrecognized after a long disease-free interval. Some metastatic sites cause nonspecific symptoms, like abdominal/epigastric pain, with numerous published case reports of mILC misdiagnosed as gastric cancer. These atypical BC metastatic sites may lead to late and/or misdiagnosis, thereby delaying effective treatments. ObjectiveWe developed a patient survey to investigate the patient-reported prevalence of delayed diagnosis or misdiagnosis of mILC and their potential impact upon treatment outcomes. MethodsA 45-question survey was developed and piloted with breast cancer researchers, clinical oncologists, and patient advocates. This IRB-approved survey was then distributed to patients with ILC. Analyses including data QC and visualization were conducted in R using descriptive statistics. Incomplete or inconsistent responses were excluded, and summary statistics were stratified by four common mILC sites to highlight subgroup differences. Results525 patient surveys were completed, with 450 patients diagnosed with ILC, and of those 321 diagnosed with mILC. For those with mILC, 33.3% (n=107) were diagnosed with de novo mILC at initial presentation. Of the patients diagnosed with mILC, 32.1% (n=103) presented with other medical conditions at diagnosis. Misdiagnosis was reported by 26.2% (n=84) of patients with mILC, and of these cases, 31% (n=26) had [&ge;]2 misdiagnoses. The top 5 misdiagnoses were bone-related condition (24.7%), benign breast condition (23.4%), another type of BC (7.8%), diagnostic delay (7.8%), and menopause related (5.2%). 44.5% of patients waited [&ge;]1 year for an accurate diagnosis. 49 patients were treated for their misdiagnosis, and 6 received incorrect cancer treatments. The most frequently reported contributors to delayed or misdiagnosis were inconclusive imaging, providers lack of ILC knowledge, and initial misdiagnosis. Of the 321 patients with mILC, 138 (42.9%) reported symptoms before diagnosis; the most common were back pain (16.5%), fatigue/malaise (14.9%), GI symptoms (11.8%), bloating (8.4%), and weight loss (8.1%). Although 40% of patients reported having a mammogram at the time of their initial misdiagnosis, ILC was detected in only 20.5% (24/116) of these cases, and mammography detected only 5 (25%) of the 20 de novo mILC cases. Patients reported additional diagnostic testing within 1-3 months of their initial mammogram, includingbiopsy, ultrasound (US), and MRI. 47.9% of patients were in active BC surveillance after curative intent therapy at the time of their mILC diagnosis; however, no statistical difference was seen in time to diagnosis versus those patients not under surveillance. ConclusionOur survey results underscore the urgent need to improve diagnostic strategies for mILC. Addressing delays and diagnostic errors in mILC is critical to optimizing treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes.

PURPOSE: Bispecific antibodies (BsAbs) represent a major advancement in the management of relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM), offering high response rates even in heavily pretreated patients. However, their use presents operational, safety, and supportive care complexities that require coordinated care teams, and evolving infrastructure. This manuscript summarizes best practice recommendations for adverse event (AE) management, outpatient operational models, referral pathways, and emerging strategies to optimize long-term tolerability. METHODS: Medlive, A PlatformQ Health Brand, conducted qualitative interviews of academic and community-based clinicians. Discussions focused on BsAb implementation, patient selection and counseling, and AE management. Experts provided recommendations on team-based protocols, transitions of care, and inpatient versus outpatient considerations. RESULTS: Ten hematologists/oncologists (academic n=4; community n=6) described practice patterns, barriers, and perspectives on BsAb use. BsAbs were consistently regarded as highly effective across multiple lines of therapy, particularly for patients without alternatives. Cytokine release syndrome (CRS) was the most common acute toxicity, generally low grade and managed effectively with early tocilizumab, including prophylactic use in outpatient settings. Immune effector cell-associated neurotoxicity syndrome (ICANS) was rare, mild, and best mitigated through early recognition and caregiver support. Infections, largely from BCMA-associated hypogammaglobulinemia, frequently interrupted therapy, necessitating antiviral prophylaxis, pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PJP) prophylaxis, and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG). Outpatient step-up dosing is expanding, supported by prophylactic strategies and academic-community collaboration. Timely referral was emphasized to preserving eligibility. Major outpatient challenges included sequencing, infrastructure readiness, and standardized caregiver and staff education. CONCLUSION: Effective community implementation of BsAbs requires multidisciplinary coordination, standardized AE protocols, infection prevention, and infrastructure to support monitoring, referrals, and equitable access. These measures are critical to ensure safe, sustainable integration of bispecific therapies and to optimize patient outcomes.

Background: Modern oncology development depends on integrating radiographic response, molecular biomarkers, treatment exposure, safety, and survival endpoints, yet access to well-structured patient-level trial data is often limited. Methods: We developed a synthetic, literature-informed phase II randomized oncology trial framework that followed the sequence Patient [-&gt;] Data [-&gt;] Dataset [-&gt;] Analysis [-&gt;] Tables/Figures [-&gt;] Decision. A cohort of randomized patients was simulated with baseline demographic and disease features, longitudinal tumor measurements, circulating tumor DNA, inflammatory and exploratory biomarkers, adverse events, treatment exposure, and survival outcomes. Raw source datasets were transformed into SDTM-like domains and ADaM-like analysis datasets, then analyzed for baseline characteristics, exposure, best overall response, survival, subgroup hazard ratios, longitudinal tumor and biomarker changes, exposure-response, and safety. Results: The treatment arm showed a coherent efficacy signal across multiple analytical layers. Treatment increased objective response and clinical benefit, reduced tumor burden over time, and prolonged survival. Median overall survival increased from 135 days in the control arm to 288 days in the treatment arm, with an approximate hazard ratio of 0.661 (95% CI, 0.480-0.911; p = 0.011). Median progression-free survival increased from 116 to 208 days, with an approximate hazard ratio of 0.601 (95% CI, 0.418-0.864; p = 0.006). Circulating tumor DNA showed a more favorable trajectory in treated patients and aligned directionally with radiographic and survival benefit. Safety analyses showed increased treatment-related toxicity, but the overall safety profile remained interpretable and compatible with continued development. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that a synthetic, literature-informed oncology trial can reproduce a biologically plausible and analytically coherent efficacy-safety signal architecture across radiographic, molecular, and time-to-event endpoints, providing a decision-oriented prototype for translational oncology clinical data science. Keywords: synthetic clinical trial, oncology, ctDNA, Kaplan-Meier, biomarker, survival analysis, translational data science, ADaM, SDTM

BackgroundImmune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have improved outcomes across multiple cancer types, yet reliable predictors of survival remain limited. While genomic features such as tumor mutational burden (TMB) are widely used, their contribution to predictive modeling in heterogeneous real-world cohorts remains unclear. We evaluated the relative contributions of clinical and whole-genome sequencing (WGS) features in pan-cancer survival modeling. MethodsWe analyzed 658 patients treated with ICIs with matched WGS data from the Genomics England. Using a leakage-controlled machine learning framework with strict train-test separation, we compared four models: TMB-only, clinical-only, clinical+TMB, and an integrated 11-feature clinico-genomic XGBoost survival model. Model performance was assessed using Harrells concordance index (C-index) with bootstrap confidence intervals. ResultsTMB alone demonstrated near-random discrimination (C-index 0.50; 95% CI 0.44-0.56). Clinical variables substantially improved predictive performance (0.59; 95% CI 0.53-0.64), with marginal gain from adding TMB (0.59). The integrated model achieved a C-index of 0.60 (95% CI 0.55-0.65). While improvement over TMB alone was significant, incremental gain beyond optimized clinical models was modest. Feature attribution analysis showed that model performance was dominated by clinical variables, with genomic features contributing limited additional signal. ConclusionsThese findings suggest that, in heterogeneous pan-cancer cohorts, predictive performance is constrained by the underlying data structure, in which dominant clinical signals overshadow genome-scale features. This study highlights fundamental limitations in integrating genomic data into survival models across diverse cancer types and provides a benchmark for future computational approaches.

Background: Population-based cancer registers (PBCR) are important for monitoring trends in cancer epidemiology, facilitating the implementation of effective cancer services. Adolescents and Young Adult (AYA) with cancer are a patient group with a unique set of needs. The utility of PBCR in AYA is limited by the lack of AYA-specific data items. STRONG AYA, an international multidisciplinary consortium is addressing this through federated learning (FL) methodology and novel data visualisation concepts. A Core Outcome Set (COS) has been developed to measure outcomes of importance through clinical data and Patient Reported Outcomes (PROs). We describe how data from the Yorkshire Specialist Register of Cancer in Children and Young People (YSRCCYP), a PBCR in the UK is being used within STRONG AYA and how the subsequent analyses can guide patient consultations. Methods: Data from the YSRCCYP were imported into a Vantage 6 node, from which FL analyses are performed along with data provided by other consortium members. The results are extracted into the PROMPT software and integrated into patient electronic healthcare records. Results: Healthcare professionals can view the results of individual PROs at various time points and in comparison, to summary analyses carried out within the STRONG AYA infrastructure. Results can be filtered by age, disease, country and stage. Conclusion: We have demonstrated how a regional PBCR can contribute to a pan-European infrastructure and analyses viewed to enhance patient consultations. Such analyses have the potential to be used for research and policy-making, improving outcomes for AYA.

Background and aims: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) surveillance is limited to individuals with familial or genetic risk although most future cases arise outside these groups. In a retrospective study, PRISM, an electronic health record (EHR)-based PDAC risk model, identified individuals in the general population at elevated near-term risk of PDAC. We aimed to prospectively evaluate whether PRISM can identify high-risk individuals beyond current surveillance groups across U.S. health systems. Methods: We performed a prospective multicenter cohort study after deployment of PRISM in April 2023 across 44 U.S. health care organizations. Eligible adults aged [&ge;]40 years without prior PDAC received a single baseline risk score and were assigned to prespecified risk tiers. Patients were followed for incident PDAC for 30 months. We estimated tier-specific 30-month cumulative incidence (positive predictive value, PPV), number needed to screen (NNS), standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), and time from deployment and first high-risk flag to diagnosis. Results: Among 6,282,123 adults assigned a PRISM score, 5,058,067 had follow-up; 3,609 developed PDAC. The highest-risk tier had 30-fold higher PDAC incidence than the study population. At the SIR 5 threshold, 30-month cumulative incidence was 0.35% (NNS, 284.2); at SIR 16, 1.14% (NNS, 87.4); and at SIR 30, 2.19% (NNS, 45.7). Median time from deployment to PDAC diagnosis was 9.5 months, and median time from first high-risk flag to diagnosis at SIR 5 was 3.5 years. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analyses supported patient- and tier-level interpretability. Conclusions: Prospective deployment of PRISM across multiple U.S. health care organizations identified individuals at elevated near-term risk for PDAC, with substantial risk enrichment and lead time before diagnosis. These findings support the real-world scalability and generalizability of EHRbased risk stratification for risk-adapted early detection. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT05973331

Metabolic dysfunction is increasingly recognized as a risk factor for poor outcomes in breast cancer, but whether incretin-based therapies confer survival benefit beyond weight loss remains unresolved. Using a federated electronic health record platform spanning nearly 29 million patients, we evaluated breast cancer survival after semaglutide and tirzepatide initiation in routine care. In 1:1 propensity-matched pooled-comparator analyses, semaglutide was associated with improved overall survival versus metformin, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor, and dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitor users, with 54 deaths among 2,433 semaglutide users (2.2%) versus 395 deaths among 2,433 comparators (16.2%) over 24 months (log-rank P < 0.001). Tirzepatide showed a favorable survival association relative to pooled anti-diabetic comparators that did not meet statistical significance (P = 0.24), with 3 deaths among 220 users (1.4%) versus 64 deaths among 220 comparators (29.1%). In a head-to-head propensity-score-matched comparison, overall survival did not differ significantly between semaglutide and tirzepatide treated patients with pre-existing breast cancer (2,117 per arm; P = 0.12). In semaglutide-treated patients alive and observable at the 1-year landmark, higher maximum dose achieved was significantly associated with lower post-landmark mortality (P = 0.034), with an event rate of approximately 1.0% in the high-dose group (>=1.7 mg) versus approximately 4.5% in the low-dose group (0.25-1.0 mg). Despite a linear dose weight loss relationship for semaglutide, however, weight loss strata did not separate survival outcomes (global P = 0.22). In tirzepatide-treated patients alive and observable at the same landmark, neither maximum dose achieved nor weight loss strata separated post-landmark survival (P = 0.98 and P = 0.50, respectively). Structured EHR and AI-based clinical note analyses further showed significantly lower frequency of documented metastatic disease in semaglutide-treated patients relative to pooled anti-diabetic comparators, including any metastasis (7.0% versus 15.0%, rate ratio 0.5, P < 0.001), bone metastasis (1.0% versus 5.2%, rate ratio 0.2, P < 0.001), and liver, lung, or brain metastases (all P < 0.001). LLM-derived cause-of-death extraction further showed a 60% lower relative proportion of cancer-associated deaths in semaglutide-treated patients (19% of ascertainable deaths) than in matched pooled anti-diabetic comparators (47% of ascertainable deaths), with comparator deaths more often attributed to cancer progression involving metastatic breast cancer, leptomeningeal carcinomatosis, and cancer-driven organ failure. Overall, this study demonstrates that semaglutide use in patients with pre-existing breast cancer is associated with a dose correlated but weight loss independent improvement in overall survival. These findings motivate prospective trials of GLP-1 receptor agonists in breast cancer across various stages and treatment settings.

Purpose: Chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for human papillomavirus-related oropharyngeal cancer (HPV+ OPC) causes substantial treatment-related toxicity, with well-known adverse effects on quality of life (QoL), weight loss, and self-reported physical functioning. However, its impact on objectively measured cardiorespiratory fitness is unknown. This study examined changes in cardiorespiratory fitness, body composition, grip strength, and patient-reported outcomes in patients with HPV+ OPC undergoing CRT. Methods: We invited 20 patients with HPV+ OPC scheduled for CRT (age: 61.2 {+/-} 7.1 years, female: n=4) to complete assessments at three timepoints: pre-CRT (baseline), 2-weeks post-CRT, and 8-weeks post-CRT. Cardiorespiratory fitness was assessed using a maximal incremental cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET). Body composition was estimated using segmental bioelectrical impedance analysis. QoL was assessed using the EORTC QLQ-C30 and QLQ-H&N43, and physical activity was self-reported using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form. The primary outcome was change in oxygen consumption at the anaerobic threshold ([V]O2 at AT) measured during CPET; an objective, effort-independent marker of cardiorespiratory fitness. Results: Mean [V]O2 at AT declined from 16.0 {+/-} 3.8 ml/kg/min at baseline to 12.0 {+/-} 3.4 ml/kg/min at 2-weeks post-CRT (adjusted mean change: -4.2, 95% CI: -5.4 to -3.0 ml/kg/min) and remained low at 8-weeks post-CRT. Peak oxygen consumption ([V]O2peak: -7.4, -9.3 to -5.4 ml/kg/min), body mass (-8.5, -10.7 to -6.2 kg), fat-free mass (-6.4, -7.7 to -5.0 kg), grip strength (-4.1, -7.2 to -0.99 kg), global health status (-26.9, -39.2 to -14.6 points), fatigue (49.8, 33.7 to 65.8 points), and several disease-specific symptoms were also adversely affected at 2-weeks post-CRT and remained impaired at 8 weeks. Conclusion: This is the first study to estimate the impact of CRT on cardiopulmonary fitness in patients with HPV+ OPC. Cardiorespiratory fitness declined by ~25% following CRT and remained reduced at 8-weeks. Targeted interventions to mitigate these adverse physiological effects warrants further investigation.